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New Poll Measures Voter Sentiment About ACA Repeal and Replace

May 10, 2017

As the United States Senate determines its approach to a repeal and replace of the Affordable Care Act (ACA), a new poll conducted by Morning Consult/POLITICO looks at voter sentiment about the issue.

The poll reveals that 50 percent of voters strongly or somewhat approve of the ACA, while 42 percent disapprove of the 2010 law. In addition, 38 percent of voters say they approve of the American Health Care Act (AHCA) passed by the House of Representatives, while 44 percent disapprove of the plan.

Among the findings, 52 percent of voters support eliminating the ACA’s individual mandate, requiring people to buy insurance or pay a fine. However, respondents like many of the ACA provisions more than the House alternatives:

  • 63 percent of voters oppose the provision of the AHCA that encourages people to buy insurance by levying a 30 percent penalty on premium costs if their coverage lapses for more than two months. (16% support)
  • 55 percent of voters support tax credits based on income and location, which reflects the ACA calculation, while 18 percent of voters support credits based on age, as proposed in the AHCA

The poll found that 40 percent of respondents believe that the AHCA would allow insurers to deny coverage to people with pre-existing health conditions. Another 30 percent say it would not, and yet another 30 percent don’t know or have no opinion.

Asked about the future of Medicaid, 44 percent of voters favor allowing people to continue enrolling in Medicaid until 2020, followed by more limited enrollment. Another 28 percent said they opposed the proposal, and 28 percent said they didn’t know.

Senate leaders have said they will not work from the House-passed AHCA, but will craft their own plan. A group of 13 Republican members has formed to begin work. Pennsylvania’s U.S. Senator Pat Toomey is one of the 13.

The national, online survey of 1,996 registered voters was conducted May 4 through May 6 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points. 

Senate leaders have said they will not work from the House-passed AHCA, but will craft their own plan. A group of 13 Republican members has begun work. U.S. Senator Pat Toomey (R-PA) is part of the group.

For additional information, contact Scott Bishop, HAP’s senior vice president, legislative advocacy.

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